13 July 2014

#R: GAM exercise using mgcv package (the workflow)

mgcv1

Dear friends,

This post is related to:

  1. Hydromad exercise
  2. Variogram exercise
  3. Pairs exercise

I am still finishing my example of GAM (Generalised Additive Model) using MGCV package (by MGCV package)(by Simon Wood). I've been applying some variations of parameter setting. Next step will be choosing which one is the best model. In this practice I collaborate my code with Farzina Akter (a PhD student from Univ. of Sydney).

Our work flow would be like this:

  1. Dataset preparation
  2. GAM fitting using Gaussian family.
  3. GAM fitting using Gamma family
  4. Choosing the best model using AIC and ANOVA
  5. Predict GAM for new data

Model try outs

Our models try outs can be seen in this table.

GAM Family Smoothing Code
gam1 Gaussian no smoothing gam1<-gam(y ~ s(cov1) + s(cov2) + ... + s(cov-n),data=data.frame)
gam2 Gaussian thin plate (tp) gam2<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="tp") + s(cov2,bs="tp") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="tp"),data=data.frame)
gam3 Gaussian thin shrinkage (ts) gam3<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="ts") + s(cov2,bs="ts") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="ts"),data=data.frame)
gam4 Gaussian cubic reg spline (cr) gam4<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="cr") + s(cov2,bs="cr") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cr"),data=data.frame)
gam5 Gaussian cubic shrinkage spline (cs) gam5<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="cs") + s(cov2,bs="cs") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cs"),data=data.frame)
gam6 Gaussian cubic cyclic spline (cc) gam6<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="cc") + s(cov2,bs="cc") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cc"),data=data.frame)
gam7 Gamma no smoothing gam7<-gam(y ~ s(cov1) + s(cov2) + ... + s(cov-n),Gamma (link="log"),data=data.frame)
gam8 Gamma thin plate (tp) gam8<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="tp") + s(cov2,bs="tp") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="tp"),Gamma (link="log"),data=data.frame)
gam9 Gamma thin shrinkage (ts) gam9<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="ts") + s(cov2,bs="ts") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="ts"),Gamma (link="log"),data=data.frame)
gam10 Gamma cubic reg spline (cr) gam10<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="cr") + s(cov2,bs="cr") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cr"),Gamma (link="log"),data=data.frame)
gam11 Gamma cubic shrinkage spline (cs) gam11<-gam(y ~ s(cov1,bs="cs") + s(cov2,bs="cs") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cs"),Gamma (link="log"),data=data.frame)
gam12 Gamma cubic cyclic spline (cc) gam1<-gam(EC ~ s(cov1,bs="cc") + s(cov2,bs="cc") + ... + s(cov-n,bs="cc"),data=data.frame)

You can see the change on parameter bs and Gamma(link="log"). You can rename all y and the cov based on your model.

After each of the GAM model, you can add the following lines (eg for gam1)

summary(gam1) gam.check(gam1) plot(gam1,pages=1) AIC(gam1) plot(gam1,residuals=T,pages=1)

Model summary

Then after you run all of the models you can summarise all the results with the following lines.

  • Anova test for family=Gaussian, link=identity, default

anovaGaussian<-anova(gam1,gam2,gam3,gam4,gam5,gam6,test="Chisq")

  • Anova test for family=Gamma, link=log

anovaGamma<-anova(gam7,gam8,gam9,gam10,gam11,gam12, test="Chisq")

  • AIC test for family=Gaussian, link=identity, default

AICGaussian<-AIC(gam1,gam2,gam3,gam4,gam5,gam6,test="Chisq")

  • AIC test for family=Gamma, link=log

AICGamma<-anova(gam7,gam8,gam9,gam10,gam11,gam12, test="Chisq")

  • Print the anova and AIC

print(anovaGaussian) print(anovaGamma) print(AICGaussian) print(AICGamma)

Or if you use xtable package, you can write the following lines to produce html table (or LaTeX table)

print(xtable(AIC1)) print(xtable(AIC2))

Choosing the best model

Then choose the best model by looking at the smallest AIC and anova result as additional model evaluation.

Thanks for visiting my blog.

(the md and pdf files are available at onlinewaterbook.wordpress.com)

This post is related to:

  1. Hydromad exercise
  2. Variogram exercise
  3. Pairs exercise
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#---
# title : MGCV package tryout
# author: Dasapta Erwin Irawan^1 and Farzina Akter^2
# affiliation^1: Institut Teknologi Bandung (Indonesia)
# affiliation^2: University of Sydney (Australia)
# date  : 8 July 2014
#---

# This code is following http://www3.nd.edu/~mclark19/learn/GAMS.pdf

# Load library and data
require("mgcv")
data <- read.csv("data97utm.csv")

##########################
# PAIRS ANALYSIS #########
##########################

# Data group 1: Physical parameters
group1 <- data[,c("x","y","ec","elv","aq","ph","hard","tds","temp","eh","Q")]
pairs(group1,labels=colnames(group1),
      main="Physical parameter", 
      pch=21,bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow')
      [unclass(data$aq)],
      upper.panel=NULL)
legend(x=0.6,y=0.8,levels(data$aq), 
       pt.bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow'), 
       pch=21,bty='n',ncol=2)

# Data group 2: Cations (unit = ppm)
group2 <- data[,c("x","y","ec","elv","Ca","Mg","Fe","Mn","K","Na","Ca")]
pairs(group2,labels=colnames(group2),main="Cations", 
      pch=21,bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow')
      [unclass(data$aq)],
      upper.panel=NULL)
legend(x=0.6,y=0.8,legend=levels(data$aq), 
       pt.bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow'), 
       pch=21, ncol=2, bty ='n')

## Data group 3: Anions (unit = ppm)
group3 = data[,c("x","y","ec","CO3","HCO3","CO2","Cl","SO4","NO2",
      "NO3","SiO2")]
pairs(group3,labels=colnames(group3),main="Anions", 
      pch=21,bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow')
      [unclass(data$aq)],upper.panel=NULL)
#par(xpd='TRUE')
legend(x=0.6,y=0.8,legend=levels(data$aq), 
       pt.bg=c('red','green3','blue','yellow'), 
       pch=21, ncol=2, bty ='n')

##########################
##### GAM ANALYSIS #######
##########################

# load library and data
require("mgcv")
data <- read.csv("data97utm.csv")
group1 <- data[,c("x","y","ec","elv","aq","ph","hard","tds","temp","eh","Q")]
group2 <- data[,c("x","y","ec","Ca","Mg","Fe","Mn","K","Na")]
group3 = data[,c("x","y","ec","CO3","HCO3","CO2","Cl","SO4","NO2",
                 "NO3","SiO2")]

# GAM models (check, all predictors must be numeric)

################## FAMILY = GAUSSIAN #####################

## ols (k=10 default changed to k=5, to avoid smoothing error)
k1<-5 # k=10 (default)
gam11<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1) + s(y,k=k1) + s(elv,k=k1) + 
             s(ph,k=k1) + s(hard,k=k1) + 
             s(tds,k=k1) + s(temp,k=k1) + s(eh,k=k1) + 
             s(Q,k=k1), data=group1)
k2<-3
gam12<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2) + s(y,k=k2) + s(Ca,k=k2) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2) + s(Fe,k=k2) + s(Mn,k=k2) + 
             s(K,k=k2) + s(Na,k=k2), data=group2)
k3<-5
gam13<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3) + s(y,k=k3) + s(CO3,k=k3) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3) + s(CO2,k=k3) + s(Cl,k=k3) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3) + s(NO2,k=k3) + s(NO3,k=k3) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3), data=group3)

## smoothing=thin plate smoothing
#k1<-5
gam21<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(elv,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(hard,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(temp,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(eh,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs="tp"), data=group1)
#k2<-3
gam22<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Ca,k=k2,bs="tp") + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Fe,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Mn,k=k2,bs="tp") + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Na,k=k2,bs="tp"), data=group2)
#k3<-5
gam23<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(CO3,k=k3,bs="tp") + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(CO2,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(Cl,k=k3,bs="tp") + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(NO2,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(NO3,k=k3,bs="tp") +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs="tp"), data=group3)

## smoothing=thin shrinkage 
#k1<-5
bsm<-"ts"
gam31<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), data=group1)

#k2<-3
bsm<-"ts"
gam32<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), data=group2)

#k3<-5
bsm<-"ts"
gam33<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), data=group3)

# smoothing=cubic regression spline
#k1<-5
bsm<-"cr"
gam41<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), data=group1)

#k2<-3
gam42<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam43<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), data=group3)

# smoothing=cubic shrinkage version
bsm<-"cs"
#k1<-5
gam51<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), data=group1)

#k2<-3
gam52<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam53<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), data=group3)

# smoothing=cyclic cubic regression spline
# k1<-5
bsm<-"cc"
gam61<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), data=group1)

k2<-3
gam62<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam63<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), data=group3)

# Dropping "cc" model, causing error, don't have cyclic pattern


################## FAMILY = GAMMA #####################
## link=log, default smoothing
#k1<-5 # k=10 (default)
gam71<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1) + s(y,k=k1) + s(elv,k=k1) + 
             s(ph,k=k1) + s(hard,k=k1) + 
             s(tds,k=k1) + s(temp,k=k1) + s(eh,k=k1) + 
             s(Q,k=k1), Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)
#k2<-3
gam72<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2) + s(y,k=k2) + s(Ca,k=k2) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2) + s(Fe,k=k2) + s(Mn,k=k2) + 
             s(K,k=k2) + s(Na,k=k2), Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)
#k3<-5
gam73<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3) + s(y,k=k3) + s(CO3,k=k3) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3) + s(CO2,k=k3) + s(Cl,k=k3) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3) + s(NO2,k=k3) + s(NO3,k=k3) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3), Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

## smoothing=thin plate smoothing
#k1<-5
gam81<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(elv,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(hard,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(temp,k=k1,bs="tp") + s(eh,k=k1,bs="tp") + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs="tp"), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)
#k2<-3
gam82<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Ca,k=k2,bs="tp") + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Fe,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Mn,k=k2,bs="tp") + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs="tp") + s(Na,k=k2,bs="tp"), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)
#k3<-5
gam83<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(y,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(CO3,k=k3,bs="tp") + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(CO2,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(Cl,k=k3,bs="tp") + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(NO2,k=k3,bs="tp") + s(NO3,k=k3,bs="tp") +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs="tp"), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

## smoothing=thin shrinkage 
#k1<-5
bsm<-"ts"
gam91<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)

#k2<-3
bsm<-"ts"
gam92<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm),
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)

#k3<-5
bsm<-"ts"
gam93<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

# Family=gaussian, smoothing=cubic regression spline
#k1<-5
bsm<-"cr"
gam101<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)

#k2<-3
gam102<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam103<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

# smoothing=cubic shrinkage version
bsm<-"cs"
#k1<-5
gam111<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)

#k2<-3
gam112<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam113<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

# smoothing=cyclic cubic regression spline
# k1<-5
bsm<-"cc"
gam121<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(elv,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(ph,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(hard,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(tds,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(temp,k=k1,bs=bsm) + s(eh,k=k1,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Q,k=k1,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group1)

k2<-3
gam122<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Ca,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(Mg,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Fe,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Mn,k=k2,bs=bsm) + 
             s(K,k=k2,bs=bsm) + s(Na,k=k2,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group2)

#k3<-5
gam123<-gam(ec ~ s(x,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(y,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(HCO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(CO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(Cl,k=k3,bs=bsm) + 
             s(SO4,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO2,k=k3,bs=bsm) + s(NO3,k=k3,bs=bsm) +
             + s(SiO2,k=k3,bs=bsm), 
             Gamma (link="log"), data=group3)

# Same situation as GAUSSIAN family: Dropping "cc" model, causing error, don't have cyclic pattern

######### GAM EVALUATION ################
# Gaussian
AIC.gsdef<-AIC(gam11,gam12,gam13)
AIC.gstp<-AIC(gam21,gam22,gam23)
AIC.gsts<-AIC(gam31,gam32,gam33)
AIC.gscr<-AIC(gam41,gam42,gam43)
AIC.gscs<-AIC(gam51,gam52,gam53)
#AIC.gscc<-AIC(gam61,gam62,gam63) # dropped
print(AIC.gsdef) ; print(AIC.gstp) # lowestAIC=gam13(572.5448) and gam23(572.5448)
print(AIC.gsts) ; print(AIC.gscr) # lowestAIC=gam33(571.6253) and gam43(587.7679)
print(AIC.gscs) # lowest AIC=gam53(593.4830)
#print(AIC.gscc) # dropped

summary(gam13) 
# R-sq=0.897, GCV=6765, scale=3120, sigpar=all,ytrend
gam.check(gam13)

summary(gam23)
# R-sq=0.897, GCV=6765, scale=3120, sigpar=all,ytrend,-HCO3
gam.check(gam23)

summary(gam33)
# R-sq=0.899, GCV=6676.2, scale=3065.4, sigpar=all,xytrend
gam.check(gam33)

summary(gam43)
# R-sq=0.861, GCV=7623.9, scale=4213.8, sigpar=all,xytrend,-Cl,NO2
gam.check(gam43)

summary(gam53)
# R-sq=0.845, GCV=8920, scale=4695.3, sigpar=all,ytrend,-Cl,NO2
gam.check(gam53)

# Gamma
# using AIC
AIC.gmdef<-AIC(gam71,gam72,gam73)
AIC.gmtp<-AIC(gam81,gam82,gam83)
AIC.gmts<-AIC(gam91,gam92,gam93)
AIC.gmcr<-AIC(gam101,gam102,gam103)
AIC.gmcs<-AIC(gam111,gam112,gam113)
#AIC.gmcc<-AIC(gam121,gam122,gam123) # dropped
print(AIC.gmdef) ; print(AIC.gmtp) # lowestAIC=gam73(603.1337) and gam83(603.1337)
print(AIC.gmts) ; print(AIC.gmcr) # lowestAIC=gam93(601.2405) and gam103(598.4275)
print(AIC.gmcs) # lowestAIC=gam111(597.2866)
#print(AIC.gmcc) # dropped

# using summary and gam.check
summary(gam73)
# R-sq=0.66, GCV=0.20824, scale=0.13229, sigpar=all,ytrend,(-HCO3,Cl,SO4)
gam.check(gam73)

summary(gam83)
# R-sq=0.66, GCV=0.20824, scale=0.13229, sigpar=all,ytrend,(-HCO3,Cl,SO4)
gam.check(gam83)

summary(gam93)
# R-sq=0.664, GCV=0.19493, scale=0.12899, sigpar=all,ytrend,(-HCO3,Cl,SO4)
gam.check(gam93)

summary(gam103)
# R-sq=0.617, GCV=0.20011, scale=0.11909, sigpar=all,ytrend,(-HCO3,Cl,SO4,NO2)
gam.check(gam103)

summary(gam111)
# R-sq=0.602, GCV=0.17701, scale=0.12065, sigpar=all,ytrend,(-elv,ph,hard)
gam.check(gam111)

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